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2017 Hurricane Outlook

6/16/2017 (Permalink)

This Hurricane Season 

The first of June is the beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season, and does not end until the last day of November. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season’s start date is a little different. It begins on May 15th, but ends on the same day as Atlantic Ocean, November 30th. On both coasts, most of these storms do not occur until the peak of the hurricane season, which is around August through October. This is because the Atlantic Ocean and El Nino’s waters are warmed from the summer months, and hurricanes first condition needed is warmer waters.

Above-Normal Season

Each year on May 25th, the Climate Prediction Center releases its outlook on the upcoming hurricane season. For the Atlantic, this year is predicted to be an above-normal hurricane season. “The region has a 70 percent chance of experiencing between 11 and 17 storms with sustained winds of 39 mph (62 km/h) or higher. Between five and nine of these storms may become hurricanes, or storms with sustained winds of 74 mph (119 km/h) or higher. And anywhere from two to four of these storms could become major-category 3, 4 or 5 hurricanes, which means they would have sustained winds of 111 mph

(178 km/h) or higher” according to National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.

Hurricane Names

For the 2017 hurricane season, the following hurricane names could come into play in the North Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, according to the WMO:

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irma
Jose
Katia
Lee
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
Rina
Sean
Tammy
Vince
Whitney